Second-Order Thinking or How to Make Better Decisions

Essentials of Decision Consequences

S — Straight Effect, O — Opposite Effect, || — Delay, R1,2 — Cycle Name
  • Break down tasks for areas ABC
  • Sync ABC teams in priorities
  • Manage the delivery pipeline
  • Test end-to-end result (yes, now you probably will have team D — The QA Team)
  • Be responsible for end-to-end scenarios

Second-Order Thinking

Picture from https://fs.blog/2016/04/second-order-thinking/
  • What will be the long-term results of my decisions? In a month? A Year?
  • And then what?
  • What are the other possible outcomes?
  • What are the parts of the picture I do not see?
  • Are there any other possibilities that I’m wrong? Who can help discover these unknown possibilities?

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